June 1976 vs. June 2023
In this article I go through some basic stats concepts, and we discover that claims of a truly apocalyptic June 2023 are mere hot air according to the Central England Temperature Record
Location, Location & Location
Let us take three weather stations in the far North of the wet and windy UK (Lerwick, Stornoway Airport and Nairn) and calculate their combined average daily temperature for June 1976. Now let us take three weather stations in the far South of the dry and sunny UK (Camborne, Eastbourne and Hurn) and calculate their combined average daily temperature for June 2023. Would we be surprised if the southern station average turned out to be greater than the northern station average?
No.
Would this difference be due to climate change? Not necessarily.
What we’ve gone and done is confound any genuine warming arising from climate change proper with warmth arising from station location. We’ve compared apples with pears. What we should have done if we were being sensible is compare the combined average daily temperature for June 1976 with June 2023 for the three northerly stations alone, or the three southerly stations alone; and ideally compared the combined average f…