Bend It Like NASA (part 3)

A quick look beneath the sleek exterior of super smooth global gridded temperature anomalies reveals a pretty sorry bunch of data

A selection of slides as promised in part 2 of this series. The blobs you see are for years where daily data capture reached 100%:

Talk about bananas! One of those results that suggests that global warming isn’t a new thing caused by too many SUVs, excessive air travel and eating meat.

In the town of Kremsmünster, Austria man-made climate change was invented in 1960. Could it be that the planet is bouncing back to a warmer climate from an unusual cold spell marked by excessively severe winters? Are we looking at nothing more than the urban heat island effect in operation?

I am tempted to fit a curve to this, thereby ‘proving’ that what we are calling man-made climate change was already functioning in the pre-industrial era.

Woodstock in Canada clearly forgot to pay their electricity bill in 1981. A great shame since this might have proven to be a mighty interesting series.

We observe an astonishing rate of man-made climate change in Dublin, Ireland before climate change was supposed to be a thing. They forgot to pay the electricity bill in 1960 when things were starting to look interesting, leaving us with an enigma comprising five data points.

When it comes to man-made climate change Berlin is very lazy, deciding only to take part in the game from 1990 onward.

Bamberg in Germany preferred to start playing the climate game in 1980, whilst Berlin was still in bed dozing.

I feel another curve function coming on. Climate change before 1920? Surely not!

Winnemucca in Humboldt County, Nevada, USA can’t seem to make up its mind. First we had warming, then cooling, then warming, then cooling and now warming again.

Central Park in New York City, USA likes to play the game in accordance with the rules of alarmism; that is to, say temps are going up and will continue to go up ‘coz that’s what the experts inside our smartphones are saying. Up and up and up until New Yorkers are fried like Bagels. I wonder what the temperature of Central Park was back when atmospheric CO2 was up at 1,000ppm or even 4,000ppm?

Actually, we can do a back-of-envelope calculation to answer this. Between 1880 and 2022 atmospheric CO2 rose by ~130ppm and in this time the mean temperature rose by ~3°C. My trusty hand held calculator reveals a warming rate of one degree every 43.3ppm, so an additional 3,590ppm CO2 to bring it from ~410ppm to 4,000ppm would generate a hike of 82.8°C, bringing Central Park to a cosy 96.3°C. Now that is what I call global boiling!

What About The Oceans?

A good question. Whilst I like to think about land surface temperature where people actually live, NASA and others like to think about the entire globe where most of us don’t live. Unfortunately, bang up to date data for sea surface temperature is hard to come by, with the gridded product from ICOADS offering June 2023 but not July as yet. When this becomes available I may well repeat this analysis for the watery aspect of this world to see if July 2023 offered the warmest waters to date.

Whether it does or not is purely an academic exercise in number fumbling because there are even greater biases and hot fudges involved in the estimation of gridded global sea surface temperature data products, with physics telling us that the oceans must warm before the atmosphere, and a number of studies revealing lack of correlation between atmospheric CO2 and ocean heat content – a subject that I shall be probably visiting in the near future.

Kettle On!