6 Comments

So - is this what they have been doing with the temperature record? (Truncated normalisation)

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It's a distinct possibility because otherwise they'd have to junk a large number of stations whose records got going after 1961. What we want is a whistleblower!

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And I do like worked examples to make your point - really clear

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Cheers Dave, I wanted to work this through with rainfall pretty thoroughly. The same applies to temperature but folk get heated about that (couldn't resist). Coming up will be a similar series using the UK34 data whereby I flip to looking at tmax, tmin and tmean.

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I think you should look at first differences; that nets out the time invariance of the rain, climate, location and atmospherics. Also in your covid time series.

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That's all planned for when I get stuck into ARIMA time series analysis!

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