The Temperature Of The UK Over The Last 100 Years (part 7)
A butcher's at daily maxima and minima over the last 100 years. Are things getting worse, and what does ‘worse’ mean?
Back in part 6 of this series (which got updated with a new section entitled How Red Are My Cherries?’) I concerned myself with the subject of cherry picking time frames to suit narratives and hailed the IPCC as Time Lords.
I also dropped in a palate cleansing sorbet of Earth systems models under the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (currently at CMIP6) being able to predict no change in human-induced warming and even cooling if climate models are allowed to become sufficiently complex; a little-known factoid that found its way into a draft of Assessment Report AR4 before getting the chop by suits keen to promote a unified message.
I ended by promising we’d take another look at the UK34 anomaly series for mean daily minimum temperature (tmin) and ask where all the warming went (please see earlier articles for definitions). So let us pour our cuppas out and get stuck into analysing the most recent trends in warming for both tmin and tmax.