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Grant Fleming's avatar

We just had this report in Cape Town by our very own Climate Alarmist brigade, the Daily Maverick who have their "Burning Planet" section and the entire paper goes under the self proclaimed Defend Truth epithet - the report entitled "THERMAL INEQUALITIES", can you believe it? LOL!

So here is what they found: "A key takeaway was that neighbourhoods with densely packed buildings and no trees had temperatures of as much as 15°C higher than cooler neighbourhoods, while vegetation, shade and building materials can reduce surface temperature by more than 10°C". They are quick to blame Climate Change on one hand, but seem to definitively prove massive urban heat island effect on the other. Clowns.

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Tim Daw's avatar

I was intrigued if unpredictability was increasing, as so often claimed, it is unpredictability that messes us up because we can't prepare for the heat, wet, cold etc. So my approach was to graph the difference between one year's temperature, or rainfall, record and the previous year's.

I used the UK's Met Office records. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/download.html and https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadukp/data/download.html

So for instance 2022's mean temperature was 10 deg C and 2021's 10.3 so I record that as a drop of 0.3 for 2022. Obviously the larger the gains and drops the more "unpredictable" the weather is.

I think you can guess the results - see https://www.sarsen.org/2023/12/unpredictable-weather-not-unprecedented.html

I would be interested in your more scientific thoughts.

(There was an odd 60 year pattern in the Mean spring temperatures - https://www.sarsen.org/2022/12/is-this-years-tumultuous-weather-set-to.html )

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