Central England Temperature Update (part 3)

I continue with my update that reveals the climate to be more complex than alarmists are prepared to admit

Well, it sure has been hot down here in the South West. So hot, in fact, that we broke the England temperature record twice on one day in the land of trakkers and cider… or so they have claimed. I’ve been jotting down a few notes exposing the farce, and you can clock them all again under the following hyper-headings:

Smashing Records

Beers & Beef

Summer 2026 vs. 1976 I

QUESTIONS, QUESTIONS!

According to the BBC...

Back Garden Bias

A Bit Of Common…

Summer 2026 vs. 1976 II

Please do keep an eye on my notes section coz this is where I’m likely to dump a quick and dirty freebie analysis any time of the day or night, with and without warning, and with or without biscuits.

Apart from the Met Office leading the gullible deeper into a globalist narrative, one other thing that gets my goat is when folk say “I don’t ever remember it being this hot”. I’m never quite sure what they mean by this, for when closely quizzed it usually becomes clear that they’re also never quite sure what they mean by this.

If I’m being particularly cheeky, I’ll fire-off a barrage of questions, usually starting with “what do you mean by hot?”, followed by “what is the temperature today, and how does it compare with temperatures of fifty years ago?”. It rapidly becomes clear that the general public haven’t the first clue about anything other than them feeling hot and uncomfortable in the present moment.

The impact of humidity never seems to enter their mind, and neither does the impact of wind, trees, clothing, buildings, ventilation, hydration levels, age, well-being, technology and all the rest. I generally get a blank stare if I mention that the maximum temperature measured this very day is actually less than it was on this day five decades ago. It’s as if some folk have made their mind-up that climate change, as promulgated by the BBC, is pushing us all toward a doom-laden scenario that humans (being evil) fully deserve. Occasionally I’ll get, “was it really hotter then? I guess I’ve forgotten”, and this pleases me no end. Some, when prodded to actually remember rather than regurgitate propaganda, will start telling tales of how they engaged in water fights and had to sleep in the garden etc etc etc.

Then, of course, there are the perennial Met Office shenanigans with the reporting of mean values as opposed to maximum values; and the churning of the many definitions we could apply to generate media headlines mentioning ‘heatwave’, ‘record’ and/or ‘deadly’; that sort of thing. These days we’re not allowed to enjoy a pleasant summer’s day without a stiff dose of fear porn or a weather chart showing very scary blood red and black shading. My smartphone used to frighten me several times a day with dire weather warnings until I turned the blasted thing off, and now there’s a local neighbourhood keep-you-safe group emailing us all with terrifying warnings that the impending heatwave will be deadly. TBH, and speaking as a biological entity, I’d rather stand naked in the garden on a blistering June day than a freezing cold February day if I want to survive. It wouldn’t take long for hypothermia and death to set in, but alarmists don’t seem to care about genuinely deadly cold weather these days. This tells me they’re not at all interested in saving vulnerable others, but they are somewhat interested in saving their very political cause.

Heatwaves – the definition thereof – provide a rich source of fun and games with numbers each summer, and the Met Office are particularly keen to play this game; presumably because they’re paid to do exactly this. If they can’t declare a record-breaking heatwave each year just watch them jiggle the numbers about until they get one. If they can’t declare a record-breaking maximum temperature they’ll flip to counting days where a nominal threshold was exceeded; and that threshold can flip from maximum values to mean values if necessary. Then there’s the ‘three or more consecutive days’ clause they can dial-in; and if this doesn’t work, they can rely on using the phrase ‘sustained’, which can mean anything they want it to mean. We live in the strangest of times when numerical garbage is swallowed by the public wholesale without question, and especially so if somebody on the small screen delivers the info in a posh voice, suit and (blue) tie.

Dee’s Hot Day Count

So, without further ado, let me generate my own heatwave indicator and be as transparent about it as possible. What I shall do right now is take the HadCET maximum daily temperature for the whole year period 1878 – 2025, and flag those days where the value reached or exceeded 25°C. This is a nominal threshold that I can easily change, but I wish to settle on this because it is my favourite summer temperature: beyond 25°C and I start to get sticky, flushed and in constant need of cold beer. It’s also a handy threshold to adopt because it generates 1,170 hot days amongst the 54,215 days in the sample (2.2%). This means we’ll get a graph that is neither laden with excessive counts nor suffering from anaemia.

As Yoda would say that graph now is…